Estrela vs Rio Ave: result 1-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2025 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Rio Ave?
Rio Ave won 1-2 on October 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′Paulo MoreiraEstrela
- 50′André LuizRio Ave
- 71′M. VrousaiRio Ave
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Rio Ave have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Alpendorada(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 4, 2025 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | AVS(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Tondela(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Alpendorada(away) | 1-7 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Sintrense(away) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Tondela(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Benfica(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2025 | FC Porto(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Estrela win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Rio Ave win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2025 | Rio Ave 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Estrela 1-0 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Estrela 2-2 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 14, 2022 | Rio Ave 1-0 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Estrela 2-5 Rio Ave | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rio Ave score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Rio Ave | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Rio Ave sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rio Ave | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy