Estoril vs Nacional: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 26, 2025 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Nacional?
Estoril and Nacional drew 1-1 on October 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 37′Zé VitorNacional
- 60′Y. BegraouiEstoril (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nacional have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | AVS(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Rebordelo(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Moreirense(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Arouca(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Estoril win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Nacional 2-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Estoril 1-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Nacional 1-2 Estoril | Taça da Liga |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Estoril 1-2 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Estoril 0-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Nacional 0-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.2 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Nacional | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Nacional sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy