Match

Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

Ethiopia BunnaSheger Ketema

The Footlab AI model makes Ethiopia Bunna the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Sheger Ketema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ethiopia Bunna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Ethiopia Bunna (1,580) and Sheger Ketema (1,551).

37%31%32%
Ethiopia Bunna winDrawSheger Ketema win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ethiopia Bunna

Not enough data to predict the Ethiopia Bunna lineup.

Sheger Ketema

Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:35 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia Bunna have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Sheger Ketema have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ethiopia Bunna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 2, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)0-0Premier League
Jun 26, 2026Mekelle Kenema(home)3-0Premier League
Jun 20, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)0-0Premier League
Jun 14, 2026Sidama Bunna(home)1-2Premier League
May 28, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)0-1Premier League
Sheger Ketema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 4, 2026Suhul Shire(away)2-0Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Mekelakeya(home)2-0Premier League
Jun 20, 2026Dire Dawa Kenema(away)0-2Premier League
Jun 16, 2026Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home)0-0Premier League
May 29, 2026Fasil Ketema(away)1-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ethiopia Bunna win, 1 draw, 0 Sheger Ketema wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 8, 2026Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 Sheger KetemaPremier League
Nov 26, 2025Sheger Ketema 1-2 Ethiopia BunnaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema on Apr 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ethiopia Bunna score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sheger Ketema score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ethiopia Bunna1.11.058/156/15
Sheger Ketema1.00.785/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Ethiopia Bunna341798321860

A question about Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
The Footlab AI model makes Ethiopia Bunna the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Sheger Ketema.
Where and when is Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema played?
Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ethiopia Bunna and Sheger Ketema

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