Match

Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hossana Stadium, Hosaena

Hadiya HosaenaBahardar

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 27% for Hadiya Hosaena, 38% for a draw, 35% for Bahardar. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Hadiya Hosaena (1,532) and Bahardar (1,561).

27%38%35%
Hadiya Hosaena winDrawBahardar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hadiya Hosaena

4-3-3
  1. 10B. Beyene
  2. 28T. Gizawe
  3. 15A. Elias
  1. 7T. Birhanu
  2. 3N. Moges
  3. 8S. Getachew
  1. 19D. Nigussie
  2. 17H. Arficho
  3. 25D. Wondimu
  4. 13T. Aniley
  1. 44Y. Bekele

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hadiya Hosaena have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hadiya Hosaena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 4, 2026Mekelakeya(away)0-0Premier League
Jun 27, 2026Dire Dawa Kenema(home)1-1Premier League
Jun 22, 2026Welwalo Adigrat Uni(away)1-0Premier League
Jun 15, 2026Fasil Ketema(home)0-1Premier League
May 29, 2026Suhul Shire(away)1-1Premier League
Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sidama Bunna(home)0-1Premier League
Jun 21, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)0-0Premier League
Jun 16, 2026Welayta Dicha(home)0-2Premier League
May 30, 2026Mekelle Kenema(away)0-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hadiya Hosaena win, 1 draw, 4 Bahardar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Hadiya Hosaena 0-1 BahardarPremier League
Oct 20, 2025Bahardar 3-1 Hadiya HosaenaPremier League
Mar 10, 2025Hadiya Hosaena 0-1 BahardarPremier League
Oct 1, 2024Bahardar 2-0 Hadiya HosaenaPremier League
Apr 18, 2024Bahardar 0-0 Hadiya HosaenaPremier League
Feb 9, 2024Hadiya Hosaena 1-0 BahardarPremier League

Last archived meeting: Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hadiya Hosaena0.70.866/152/15
Bahardar0.90.775/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hadiya Hosaena sit 8th in Premier League (47 points from 34 matches) and Bahardar sit 3rd (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Bahardar3415910402454
8Hadiya Hosaena34121111323147

A question about Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 27% for Hadiya Hosaena, 38% for a draw, 35% for Bahardar.
Where and when is Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar played?
Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hossana Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hadiya Hosaena and Bahardar

Ready to know everything about football?