Ethiopia vs Malawi: result 4-0 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on March 17, 2021 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar
Full time
What was the result of Ethiopia vs Malawi?
Ethiopia won 4-0 on March 17, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 16′?Ethiopia
- 45′G. KebedeEthiopia
- 57′?Ethiopia
- 71′?Ethiopia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Malawi have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2020 | Niger(home) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Niger(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Zambia(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Zambia(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Ivory Coast(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2020 | Burkina Faso(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 12, 2020 | Burkina Faso(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Zimbabwe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Zambia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Uganda(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Malawi score 0.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Malawi | 0.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy