Ethiopia vs Rwanda: result 0-1 and analysis
African Nations Championship2nd RoundKick-off on September 22, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tigray Stadium, Mek'ele
Full time
What was the result of Ethiopia vs Rwanda?
Rwanda won 0-1 on September 22, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Rwanda have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2019 | Lesotho(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 4, 2019 | Lesotho(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Aug 4, 2019 | Djibouti(home) | 4-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 26, 2019 | Djibouti(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Ghana(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2019 | Congo DR(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Seychelles(home) | 7-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2019 | Seychelles(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Ivory Coast(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Central African Republic(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ethiopia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Rwanda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | Rwanda 0-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Ethiopia 2-3 Rwanda | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 21, 2015 | Ethiopia 0-1 Rwanda | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Jul 27, 2013 | Rwanda 1-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2013 | Ethiopia 1-0 Rwanda | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rwanda score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Rwanda | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy