Ethiopia vs Rwanda: result 1-0 and analysis
African Nations Championship1st RoundKick-off on July 14, 2013 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
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What was the result of Ethiopia vs Rwanda?
Ethiopia won 1-0 on July 14, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Rwanda have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2012 | Uganda(away) | 0-2 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 30, 2012 | Kenya(away) | 1-3 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 27, 2012 | Uganda(away) | 0-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 24, 2012 | South Sudan(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2012 | Tanzania(home) | 0-2 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Eritrea(away) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 29, 2012 | Zanzibar(home) | 1-2 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 26, 2012 | Malawi(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; Rwanda score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Rwanda | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy