Ethiopia vs Rwanda: result 0-1 and analysis
CECAFA Senior Challenge CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 21, 2015 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
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What was the result of Ethiopia vs Rwanda?
Rwanda won 0-1 on November 21, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Rwanda have 4, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2015 | Congo(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Congo(home) | 3-4 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 25, 2015 | Burundi(home) | 3-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Burundi(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 11, 2015 | Sao Tome and Principe(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2015 | Libya(home) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2015 | Libya(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Dec 7, 2013 | Kenya(away) | 0-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 5, 2013 | Eritrea(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 2, 2013 | Sudan(away) | 0-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ethiopia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Rwanda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2013 | Rwanda 1-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2013 | Ethiopia 1-0 Rwanda | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rwanda score 0.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Rwanda | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 2/12 | 2/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy