Ethiopia vs Uganda: result 1-1 and analysis
CECAFA Senior Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on December 10, 2017 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bukhungu Stadium, Kakamega
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What was the result of Ethiopia vs Uganda?
Ethiopia and Uganda drew 1-1 on December 10, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Uganda have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | Burundi(away) | 1-4 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 5, 2017 | South Sudan(away) | 3-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Rwanda(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Rwanda(home) | 2-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Botswana(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2017 | South Sudan(home) | 5-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 4, 2017 | Burundi(home) | 0-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Congo(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Ghana(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Egypt(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ethiopia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Uganda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2015 | Ethiopia 0-0 Uganda | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 4, 2012 | Uganda 2-0 Ethiopia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 27, 2012 | Uganda 1-0 Ethiopia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda score 1.2 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Uganda | 1.2 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy