Ethiopia vs Uganda: result 1-1 and analysis
CECAFA Senior Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on December 10, 2017 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bukhungu Stadium, Kakamega
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What was the result of Ethiopia vs Uganda?
Ethiopia and Uganda drew 1-1 on December 10, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Uganda have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | Burundi(away) | 1-4 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 5, 2017 | South Sudan(away) | 3-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Rwanda(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Rwanda(home) | 2-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Botswana(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2017 | South Sudan(home) | 5-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 4, 2017 | Burundi(home) | 0-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Congo(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Ghana(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Egypt(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ethiopia wins, 1 draw, 2 Uganda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2015 | Ethiopia 0-0 Uganda | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 4, 2012 | Uganda 2-0 Ethiopia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 27, 2012 | Uganda 1-0 Ethiopia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda score 1.2 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Uganda | 1.2 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy