Ethiopian Medhin vs Halaba Ketema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Abebe Bikila Stadium, Addis Ababa
The Footlab AI model makes Ethiopian Medhin the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Halaba Ketema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ethiopian Medhin wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ethiopian Medhin vs Halaba Ketema?
Ethiopian Medhin starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,585 vs 1,475).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ethiopian Medhin vs Halaba Ketema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ethiopian Medhin
Not enough data to predict the Ethiopian Medhin lineup.
Halaba Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Halaba Ketema lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopian Medhin have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Halaba Ketema have 2, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gamo Chencha(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopian Medhin score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Halaba Ketema score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopian Medhin | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Halaba Ketema | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ethiopian Medhin sit 6th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Halaba Ketema sit 5th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Halaba Ketema | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 6 | Ethiopian Medhin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Ethiopian Medhin vs Halaba Ketema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ethiopian Medhin vs Halaba Ketema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ethiopian Medhin the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Halaba Ketema.
- Where and when is Ethiopian Medhin vs Halaba Ketema played?
- Ethiopian Medhin vs Halaba Ketema is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Abebe Bikila Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Adama KenemavsBahardar
- Dec 12, 2026Awassa KenemavsEthiopia Bunna
- Dec 12, 2026MekelakeyavsHadiya Hosaena
- Dec 12, 2026Sidama BunnavsKedus Giorgis
- Dec 12, 2026Ethiopia Nigd BankvsWelayta Dicha
- Dec 12, 2026Sheger KetemavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Dec 12, 2026Negelle ArsivsFasil Ketema
- Dec 12, 2026Gamo ChenchavsMebrat Hayl