Match

Gamo Chencha vs Mebrat Hayl: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Gamo ChenchaMebrat Hayl

The Footlab AI model makes Mebrat Hayl the favourite at 45%, against 36% for a draw and 19% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mebrat Hayl wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,324 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Mebrat Hayl?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Gamo Chencha (1,443) and Mebrat Hayl (1,524).

19%36%45%
Gamo Chencha winDrawMebrat Hayl win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gamo Chencha vs Mebrat Hayl

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gamo Chencha

Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.

Mebrat Hayl

4-3-3
  1. 7A. Tiruneh
  2. 9H. Hussien
  3. 10G. Eyob
  1. 14A. Tesfaye
  2. 17H. Shewalem
  3. 5H. Gebrehiwot
  1. 13B. B. Babulo
  2. 4B. Woldeyohannes
  3. 21Y. Yemane
  4. 31B. Asresahegn
  1. 45A. Tesfaye

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 02:51 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Gamo Chencha have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Mebrat Hayl have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamo Chencha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-2Premier League
Oct 26, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Mekelakeya(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)0-2Premier League
Mebrat Hayl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Kedus Giorgis(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 20, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Negelle Arsi(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Adama Kenema(home)0-1Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

Gamo Chencha score 0.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Mebrat Hayl score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gamo Chencha0.31.311/41/4
Mebrat Hayl0.80.856/154/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamo Chencha sit 18th in Premier League (1 point from 4 matches) and Mebrat Hayl sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mebrat Hayl5212227
18Gamo Chencha4013151

A question about Gamo Chencha vs Mebrat Hayl?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamo Chencha vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Footlab AI model makes Mebrat Hayl the favourite at 45%, against 36% for a draw and 19% for Gamo Chencha.
Where and when is Gamo Chencha vs Mebrat Hayl played?
Gamo Chencha vs Mebrat Hayl is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gamo Chencha and Mebrat Hayl

Ready to know everything about football?