Match

Adama Kenema vs Bahardar: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Adama Stadium, Nazreth

Adama KenemaBahardar

The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 43%, against 34% for a draw and 23% for Adama Kenema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Bahardar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,600 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adama Kenema vs Bahardar?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Adama Kenema (1,497) and Bahardar (1,564).

23%34%43%
Adama Kenema winDrawBahardar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Adama Kenema vs Bahardar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Adama Kenema

4-3-3
  1. 18Abubeker Sani
  2. 15A. Elias
  3. 12D. Hotessa
  1. 16A. Sisay
  2. 25W. Gadissa
  3. 9N. Nuri
  1. 29Mujib Kassim Hamza
  2. 6M. Abdulkarim
  3. 21S. Yohannes
  4. 15M. Awol
  1. 1A. Markos

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adama Kenema have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adama Kenema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Negelle Arsi(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)3-2Premier League
Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sidama Bunna(home)0-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Adama Kenema wins, 0 draws, 2 Bahardar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Bahardar 2-1 Adama KenemaPremier League
Nov 25, 2025Adama Kenema 1-0 BahardarPremier League
Jun 2, 2025Adama Kenema 2-0 BahardarPremier League
Sep 27, 2024Bahardar 0-1 Adama KenemaPremier League
Jun 21, 2024Adama Kenema 2-3 BahardarPremier League
Feb 3, 2024Bahardar 1-2 Adama KenemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Bahardar vs Adama Kenema on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Adama Kenema score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adama Kenema0.90.965/154/15
Bahardar0.90.865/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Adama Kenema sit 7th in Premier League (5 points from 3 matches) and Bahardar sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Bahardar3201426
7Adama Kenema3120215

A question about Adama Kenema vs Bahardar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adama Kenema vs Bahardar?
The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 43%, against 34% for a draw and 23% for Adama Kenema.
Where and when is Adama Kenema vs Bahardar played?
Adama Kenema vs Bahardar is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Adama Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Adama Kenema and Bahardar

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