Ethnikos Piraeus vs Ellopiakos: result 3-1 and analysis
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 1Kick-off on October 4, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Dimotiko Moschato, Moschato
Full time
What was the result of Ethnikos Piraeus vs Ellopiakos?
Ethnikos Piraeus won 3-1 on October 4, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethnikos Piraeus have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Ellopiakos have 1, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2023 | Episkopi(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Atromitos Piraeus(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Ipato(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Panthrakikos(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Ialysos(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2023 | Almyros Gaziou(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Episkopi(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Atromitos Piraeus(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethnikos Piraeus score 1.5 and concede 0.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ellopiakos score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnikos Piraeus | 1.5 | 0.2 | 13 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Ellopiakos | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy