Etimesgut SK vs Uşak Spor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, Etimesgut
The Footlab model makes Etimesgut SK the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Uşak Spor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etimesgut SK vs Uşak Spor?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Etimesgut SK (1,600) and Uşak Spor (1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etimesgut SK have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Uşak Spor have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kartal Bulvarspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | İzmir Çoruhlu FK(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kütahyaspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Etimesgut SK win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Uşak Spor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Uşak Spor 1-1 Etimesgut SK | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Etimesgut SK 1-2 Uşak Spor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Etimesgut SK 1-0 Uşak Spor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Uşak Spor 0-1 Etimesgut SK | 2. Lig |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Uşak Spor 1-1 Etimesgut SK | 2. Lig |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Etimesgut SK 1-1 Uşak Spor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Uşak Spor vs Etimesgut SK on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Etimesgut SK score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Uşak Spor score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etimesgut SK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Uşak Spor | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etimesgut SK vs Uşak Spor?
- The Footlab model makes Etimesgut SK the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Uşak Spor.
- Where and when is Etimesgut SK vs Uşak Spor played?
- Etimesgut SK vs Uşak Spor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.