Match

Denizli İYG vs Uşak Spor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, Denizli

Denizli İYGUşak Spor

The Footlab model makes Denizli İYG the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Uşak Spor. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Denizli İYG vs Uşak Spor?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Denizli İYG (1,567) and Uşak Spor (1,506).

Denizli İYG win44 %
Draw31 %
Uşak Spor win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denizli İYG have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Uşak Spor have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Denizli İYG
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)3-33. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(away)0-03. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Balıkesirspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Kütahyaspor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Karsiyaka(home)0-53. Lig - Group 4
Uşak Spor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026İzmir Çoruhlu FK(away)1-33. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(away)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Balıkesirspor(home)0-23. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026Kütahyaspor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Denizli İYG win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Uşak Spor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Denizli İYG 0-0 Uşak Spor3. Lig - Group 4
Sep 28, 2025Uşak Spor 1-0 Denizli İYG3. Lig - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Denizli İYG vs Uşak Spor on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Uşak Spor score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Denizli İYG1.11.082/155/15
Uşak Spor0.91.264/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Denizli İYG vs Uşak Spor?
The Footlab model makes Denizli İYG the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Uşak Spor.
Where and when is Denizli İYG vs Uşak Spor played?
Denizli İYG vs Uşak Spor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Denizli İYG and Uşak Spor

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