Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
The Footlab model makes Étoile Carouge the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for FC WIL 1900. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Étoile Carouge (1,802) and FC WIL 1900 (1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Étoile Carouge have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC WIL 1900 have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(away) | 0-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Collex-Bossy(away) | 2-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(home) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 3-0 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rebstein(away) | 6-2 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Winterthur(away) | 0-5 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Rapperswil(away) | 5-4 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Étoile Carouge win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 FC WIL 1900 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Étoile Carouge 2-0 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | FC WIL 1900 1-3 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Étoile Carouge 0-0 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
| Aug 8, 2025 | FC WIL 1900 1-0 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | FC WIL 1900 2-2 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Étoile Carouge 1-1 FC WIL 1900 | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Étoile Carouge score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC WIL 1900 score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile Carouge | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| FC WIL 1900 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Étoile Carouge sit 6th in Challenge League (5 points from 4 matches) and FC WIL 1900 sit 9th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Étoile Carouge | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | FC WIL 1900 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900?
- The Footlab model makes Étoile Carouge the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for FC WIL 1900.
- Where and when is Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 played?
- Étoile Carouge vs FC WIL 1900 is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Fontenette, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.