FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
The Footlab model makes FC Winterthur the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Neuchatel Xamax FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate FC Winterthur (1,774) and Neuchatel Xamax FC (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Winterthur have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Neuchatel Xamax FC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapperswil(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zürich City(away) | 3-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 5-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(home) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 0-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 3-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Winterthur win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Neuchatel Xamax FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | FC Winterthur 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2022 | FC Winterthur 3-1 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| Mar 18, 2022 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 0-0 FC Winterthur | Challenge League |
| Oct 29, 2021 | Neuchatel Xamax FC 1-1 FC Winterthur | Challenge League |
| Sep 11, 2021 | FC Winterthur 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
| Apr 30, 2021 | FC Winterthur 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax FC | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Winterthur score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Neuchatel Xamax FC score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Winterthur | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Winterthur sit 4th in Challenge League (7 points from 4 matches) and Neuchatel Xamax FC sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | FC Winterthur | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC?
- The Footlab model makes FC Winterthur the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Neuchatel Xamax FC.
- Where and when is FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC played?
- FC Winterthur vs Neuchatel Xamax FC is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at Stadion Schützenwiese, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.