Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
The Footlab model makes Étoile Carouge the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Stade Nyonnais. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?
Étoile Carouge starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Étoile Carouge have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stade Nyonnais have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(away) | 0-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Collex-Bossy(away) | 2-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(home) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 3-0 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Étoile Carouge(home) | 0-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 3-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Aarau(away) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rapperswil(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Étoile Carouge win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Stade Nyonnais win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais 0-0 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Étoile Carouge 0-0 Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais 2-2 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Stade Nyonnais 0-0 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Étoile Carouge 1-1 Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Étoile Carouge 2-1 Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Étoile Carouge score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Nyonnais score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile Carouge | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Stade Nyonnais | 0.8 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Étoile Carouge sit 6th in Challenge League (5 points from 4 matches) and Stade Nyonnais sit 10th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Étoile Carouge | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?
- The Footlab model makes Étoile Carouge the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Stade Nyonnais.
- Where and when is Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais played?
- Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Fontenette, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.