Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
The Footlab AI model makes Étoile Carouge the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Stade Nyonnais. The most likely score is 1-1. If Étoile Carouge wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?
Étoile Carouge starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,570).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Étoile Carouge
4-1-4-1- 76Itaitinga
- 8R. Alves
- 77T. Escorza
- 21M. Holcbecher
- 6M. El Jaouhari
- 10B. Caslei
- 4I. Strohbach
- 24M. Dubosson
- 3F. Hoxha
- 25V. Felder
- 23Lionel Huwiler
Stade Nyonnais
4-1-4-1- 9Mardochee Miguel
- 42E. Akichi
- 5J. Mandaka
- 8L. Ribeiro
- 10B. Alili
- 6Fabulus Ahuissou
- 4S. Fankhauser
- 2R. Ouchard
- 23K. Thermoncy
- 16R. Correia
- 40M. Aubert
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Étoile Carouge have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Stade Nyonnais have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Aarau(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 0-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 1-4 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Rapperswil(away) | 4-1 | Challenge League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | FC Winterthur(away) | 0-4 | Challenge League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 0-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(away) | 0-5 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Étoile Carouge win, 5 draws, 0 Stade Nyonnais wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais 0-0 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Étoile Carouge 0-0 Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais 2-2 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Stade Nyonnais 0-0 Étoile Carouge | Challenge League |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Étoile Carouge 1-1 Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Étoile Carouge 2-1 Stade Nyonnais | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Étoile Carouge score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Nyonnais score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile Carouge | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Stade Nyonnais | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Étoile Carouge sit 7th in Challenge League (13 points from 12 matches) and Stade Nyonnais sit 10th (8 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Étoile Carouge | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 13 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 8 |
A question about Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?
- The Footlab AI model makes Étoile Carouge the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Stade Nyonnais.
- Where and when is Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais played?
- Étoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Fontenette, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.