Sanga Balende vs Malole: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on November 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Kashala Bonzola, Mbuji-Mayi
The Footlab AI model makes Sanga Balende the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Malole. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanga Balende vs Malole?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Sanga Balende (1,556) and Malole (1,524).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sanga Balende vs Malole
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sanga Balende
Not enough data to predict the Sanga Balende lineup.
Malole
Not enough data to predict the Malole lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanga Balende have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Malole have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Malole(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Tanganyika(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tshinkunku(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | AS New Soger(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sanga Balende(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tanganyika(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Saint-Luc(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | TP Mazembe(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Sanga Balende wins, 1 draw, 0 Malole wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Malole 1-2 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Sanga Balende 1-0 Malole | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Malole 0-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Sanga Balende 2-1 Malole | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Malole vs Sanga Balende on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sanga Balende score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Malole score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanga Balende | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Malole | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanga Balende sit 9th in Ligue 1 (36 points from 30 matches) and Malole sit 11th (33 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 34 | 36 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 39 | 33 |
A question about Sanga Balende vs Malole?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanga Balende vs Malole?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sanga Balende the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Malole.
- Where and when is Sanga Balende vs Malole played?
- Sanga Balende vs Malole is played on November 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Kashala Bonzola, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.