Match

Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on February 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Concorde, Bukavu

Etoile de KivuNew Jack

The Footlab AI model makes Etoile de Kivu the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for New Jack. The most likely score is 1-1. If Etoile de Kivu wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Etoile de Kivu (1,537) and New Jack (1,514).

42%31%27%
Etoile de Kivu winDrawNew Jack win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Etoile de Kivu

Not enough data to predict the Etoile de Kivu lineup.

New Jack

Not enough data to predict the New Jack lineup.

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 11:17 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etoile de Kivu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; New Jack have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Etoile de Kivu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 15, 2026Motema Pembe(home)1-5Ligue 1
Apr 9, 2026Rangers(away)1-0Ligue 1
Mar 29, 2026Céleste(away)0-1Ligue 1
Mar 1, 2026JSK(home)2-2Ligue 1
Feb 22, 2026Maniema Union(away)2-3Ligue 1
New Jack
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Anges Verts(away)0-2Ligue 1
Apr 18, 2026Anges Verts(away)0-0Ligue 1
Apr 14, 2026Bukavu Dawa(home)1-1Ligue 1
Apr 1, 2026Vita Club(home)1-2Ligue 1
Mar 27, 2026FC Renaissance(home)2-2Ligue 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Etoile de Kivu wins, 0 draws, 1 New Jack win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2026Etoile de Kivu 0-1 New JackLigue 1
Nov 24, 2025New Jack 0-1 Etoile de KivuLigue 1
Nov 23, 2024Etoile de Kivu 1-0 New JackLigue 1

Last archived meeting: Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack on Jan 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Etoile de Kivu score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; New Jack score 0.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Etoile de Kivu1.01.456/156/15
New Jack0.61.156/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13New Jack1001020

A question about Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack?
The Footlab AI model makes Etoile de Kivu the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for New Jack.
Where and when is Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack played?
Etoile de Kivu vs New Jack is played on February 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Concorde, in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Etoile de Kivu and New Jack

Ready to know everything about football?