Etoile de l'Est vs Amagaju: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Etoile de l'Est the favourite at 39%, against 34% for a draw and 27% for Amagaju. The most likely score is 0-0. If Etoile de l'Est wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,396 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etoile de l'Est vs Amagaju?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Etoile de l'Est (1,530) and Amagaju (1,542).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Etoile de l'Est vs Amagaju
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Etoile de l'Est
Not enough data to predict the Etoile de l'Est lineup.
Amagaju
Not enough data to predict the Amagaju lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etoile de l'Est have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Amagaju have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gorilla(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sunrise(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Bugesera(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sunrise(home) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Etoile de l'Est win, 0 draws, 2 Amagaju wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Amagaju 2-0 Etoile de l'Est | National Soccer League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Amagaju 0-1 Etoile de l'Est | National Soccer League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Etoile de l'Est 0-1 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Amagaju vs Etoile de l'Est on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile de l'Est score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Amagaju score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile de l'Est | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Amagaju | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etoile de l'Est sit 13th in National Soccer League (7 points from 7 matches) and Amagaju sit 12th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Amagaju | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Etoile de l'Est | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Etoile de l'Est vs Amagaju?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etoile de l'Est vs Amagaju?
- The Footlab AI model makes Etoile de l'Est the favourite at 39%, against 34% for a draw and 27% for Amagaju.
- Where and when is Etoile de l'Est vs Amagaju played?
- Etoile de l'Est vs Amagaju is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.