Gorilla vs Gasogi United: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Gorilla the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gasogi United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gorilla vs Gasogi United?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Gorilla (1,635) and Gasogi United (1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gorilla have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gasogi United have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Al Merreikh(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| May 15, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 9, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 6, 2026 | AS Kigali(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 17, 2026 | Musanze(away) | 2-3 | National Soccer League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gorilla win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gasogi United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Gasogi United 2-1 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Gorilla 1-2 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| May 20, 2025 | Gorilla 2-1 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Gasogi United 2-2 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Gasogi United 1-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Gorilla 2-2 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Gasogi United vs Gorilla on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gorilla score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gasogi United score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorilla | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Gasogi United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gorilla sit 11th in National Soccer League (40 points from 34 matches) and Gasogi United sit 15th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | 40 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 44 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gorilla vs Gasogi United?
- The Footlab model makes Gorilla the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gasogi United.
- Where and when is Gorilla vs Gasogi United played?
- Gorilla vs Gasogi United is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.