Police vs AS Kigali: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kigali Pelé Stadium, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 42%, against 35% for a draw and 23% for AS Kigali. The most likely score is 0-0. If Police wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police vs AS Kigali?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Police (1,661) and AS Kigali (1,591).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Police vs AS Kigali
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
AS Kigali
Not enough data to predict the AS Kigali lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; AS Kigali have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Gorilla(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sunrise(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 28, 2026 | Gasogi United(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Marines(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Police win, 2 draws, 3 AS Kigali wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Police 0-1 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | AS Kigali 0-0 Police | National Soccer League |
| May 22, 2025 | Police 1-1 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | AS Kigali 1-0 Police | National Soccer League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Police 0-1 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Oct 15, 2023 | AS Kigali 0-1 Police | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; AS Kigali score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| AS Kigali | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 9th in National Soccer League (4 points from 4 matches) and AS Kigali sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Police | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Police vs AS Kigali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police vs AS Kigali?
- The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 42%, against 35% for a draw and 23% for AS Kigali.
- Where and when is Police vs AS Kigali played?
- Police vs AS Kigali is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kigali Pelé Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.