Etoile de l'Est vs Etincelles: result 1-0 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Etoile de l'Est vs Etincelles?
Etoile de l'Est won 1-0 on September 30, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 39′?Etoile de l'Est
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etoile de l'Est have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Etincelles have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | Mukura(away) | 3-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | APR(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Sunrise(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Musanze(home) | 1-4 | National Soccer League |
| Jun 16, 2022 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | Police(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Marines(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Amagaju(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Gorilla(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 28, 2023 | Rwamagana City(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Etoile de l'Est win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Etincelles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | Etincelles 3-0 Etoile de l'Est | National Soccer League |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Etoile de l'Est 4-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Etincelles vs Etoile de l'Est on Feb 27, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile de l'Est score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 1.3 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile de l'Est | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Etincelles | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy