ETSV Hamburg vs Nikola Tesla: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 9Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Mittlerer Landweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 85%, against 9% for a draw and 6% for Nikola Tesla. The most likely score is 4-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ETSV Hamburg vs Nikola Tesla?
ETSV Hamburg is a heavy favourite: 2,018 Elo points against 1,706 — a 312-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ETSV Hamburg have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Nikola Tesla have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Curslack-Neuengamme(away) | 8-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 ETSV Hamburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nikola Tesla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg 6-0 Nikola Tesla | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Nikola Tesla 0-8 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: ETSV Hamburg vs Nikola Tesla on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ETSV Hamburg score 3.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nikola Tesla score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 89% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETSV Hamburg | 3.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Nikola Tesla | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ETSV Hamburg sit 1st in Oberliga - Hamburg (83 points from 34 matches) and Nikola Tesla sit 15th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 126 | 27 | 83 |
| 15 | Nikola Tesla | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 70 | 95 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ETSV Hamburg vs Nikola Tesla?
- The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 85%, against 9% for a draw and 6% for Nikola Tesla.
- Where and when is ETSV Hamburg vs Nikola Tesla played?
- ETSV Hamburg vs Nikola Tesla is played on September 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Mittlerer Landweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 89% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.