Sasel vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 54%, against 18% for a draw and 28% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sasel vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Sasel (1,799) and Vorwärts-Wacker 04 (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Vorwärts-Wacker 04 have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 10, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HT16(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Sasel win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Sasel 5-4 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 2-4 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sasel 7-3 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 2-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Sasel vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vorwärts-Wacker 04 score 1.5 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasel | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sasel sit 10th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and Vorwärts-Wacker 04 sit 14th (38 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
| 14 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 85 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sasel vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04?
- The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 54%, against 18% for a draw and 28% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04.
- Where and when is Sasel vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 played?
- Sasel vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 is played on September 27, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.