Tus Dassendorf vs HT16: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Dassendorf, Dassendorf
The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 72%, against 15% for a draw and 13% for HT16. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tus Dassendorf vs HT16?
Tus Dassendorf starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (2,058 vs 1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tus Dassendorf have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; HT16 have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Tus Dassendorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 HT16 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Tus Dassendorf 2-1 HT16 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2025 | HT16 1-8 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Tus Dassendorf vs HT16 on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tus Dassendorf score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; HT16 score 2.8 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tus Dassendorf | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| HT16 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tus Dassendorf sit 3rd in Oberliga - Hamburg (76 points from 34 matches) and HT16 sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tus Dassendorf | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 101 | 34 | 76 |
| 6 | HT16 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 85 | 85 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tus Dassendorf vs HT16?
- The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 72%, against 15% for a draw and 13% for HT16.
- Where and when is Tus Dassendorf vs HT16 played?
- Tus Dassendorf vs HT16 is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Dassendorf, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.