US Hostert vs US Rumelange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Becker, Hostert
The Footlab model makes US Hostert the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for US Rumelange. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Hostert vs US Rumelange?
US Hostert starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,436 vs 1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Hostert have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; US Rumelange have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-4 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 US Hostert win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 US Rumelange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2019 | US Rumelange 0-4 US Hostert | National Division |
| Aug 31, 2018 | US Hostert 4-2 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Mar 15, 2015 | US Hostert 1-1 US Rumelange | National Division |
| Aug 28, 2014 | US Rumelange 2-2 US Hostert | National Division |
| Apr 1, 2012 | US Rumelange 3-2 US Hostert | National Division |
| Sep 30, 2011 | US Hostert 1-0 US Rumelange | National Division |
Last archived meeting: US Rumelange vs US Hostert on Mar 15, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; US Rumelange score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hostert | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| US Rumelange | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Hostert sit 10th in National Division (3 points from 3 matches) and US Rumelange sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | US Rumelange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | US Hostert | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | US Rumelange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Hostert vs US Rumelange?
- The Footlab model makes US Hostert the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for US Rumelange.
- Where and when is US Hostert vs US Rumelange played?
- US Hostert vs US Rumelange is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Becker, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026F91 DudelangevsRésidence Walferdange
- Nov 22, 2026FC Differdange 03vsProgres Niederkorn
- Nov 22, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsWiltz
- Nov 22, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Nov 22, 2026Victoria RosportvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Nov 22, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsUNA Strassen
- Nov 22, 2026Swift HesperangevsAtert Bissen