Montañesa vs Atlètic Lleida: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Montañesa the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Atlètic Lleida. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montañesa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montañesa vs Atlètic Lleida?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Montañesa (1,749) and Atlètic Lleida (1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montañesa vs Atlètic Lleida
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montañesa
Not enough data to predict the Montañesa lineup.
Atlètic Lleida
4-3-3- 9Soule
- 11M. Sidibe
- 8Samson
- 6Jordi Ortega
- 22Asier
- 14N. Sauret
- 20Joan Campins
- 24A. One
- 3D. Kone
- RRoger Alcalá
- 1P. Torres
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañesa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Atlètic Lleida have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grama(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Montañesa win, 1 draw, 0 Atlètic Lleida wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atlètic Lleida 0-2 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Montañesa 1-1 Atlètic Lleida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Atlètic Lleida vs Montañesa on Apr 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Montañesa score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlètic Lleida score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montañesa | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlètic Lleida | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montañesa sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (12 points from 6 matches) and Atlètic Lleida sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montañesa | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 | Atlètic Lleida | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Montañesa vs Atlètic Lleida?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montañesa vs Atlètic Lleida?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montañesa the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Atlètic Lleida.
- Where and when is Montañesa vs Atlètic Lleida played?
- Montañesa vs Atlètic Lleida is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.