Europa Point vs Lynx: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Lynx the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Europa Point. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Europa Point vs Lynx?
Lynx starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,258 vs 1,085).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Europa Point have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Lynx have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 3, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 0-7 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 0-4 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Europa Point(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Europa Point win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Lynx win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lynx 2-2 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Lynx 3-1 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Europa Point 2-2 Lynx | Premier Division |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Europa Point 1-1 Lynx | Premier Division |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Lynx 2-2 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Europa Point 0-1 Lynx | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Europa Point score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lynx score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa Point | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Lynx | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Europa Point sit 4th in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Lynx sit 2nd (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lynx | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Europa Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Europa Point vs Lynx?
- The Footlab model makes Lynx the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Europa Point.
- Where and when is Europa Point vs Lynx played?
- Europa Point vs Lynx is played on December 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.