Magpies vs Lions Gibraltar: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab AI model makes Magpies the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Lions Gibraltar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Magpies wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magpies vs Lions Gibraltar?
Magpies starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,395 vs 1,290).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Magpies vs Lions Gibraltar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Magpies
4-3-3- 77D. Luts
- 7P. Corr
- 9D. Borge
- 6L. Gilmore
- 8H. Ojamaa
- 10M. Miller
- 29J. Saliste
- 5G. Juhkam
- 23M. Delević
- 24F. Villar
- 99E. Jarju
Lions Gibraltar
Not enough data to predict the Lions Gibraltar lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magpies have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Lions Gibraltar have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Glacis United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Europa Point(home) | 6-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | College 1975(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Hound Dogs(home) | 4-0 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Europa(home) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Glacis United(home) | 0-4 | Premier Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Europa Point(away) | 2-4 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Magpies wins, 2 draws, 2 Lions Gibraltar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar 1-1 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Magpies 1-1 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Lions Gibraltar 3-2 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Lions Gibraltar 1-2 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Lions Gibraltar 1-3 Magpies | Rock Cup |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Lions Gibraltar 2-1 Magpies | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Lions Gibraltar vs Magpies on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Magpies score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lions Gibraltar score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magpies | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Lions Gibraltar | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magpies sit 1st in Premier Division (11 points from 5 matches) and Lions Gibraltar sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magpies | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Lions Gibraltar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Magpies vs Lions Gibraltar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magpies vs Lions Gibraltar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Magpies the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Lions Gibraltar.
- Where and when is Magpies vs Lions Gibraltar played?
- Magpies vs Lions Gibraltar is played on December 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.