Europa Point vs St Joseph S Fc: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Europa Point. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Europa Point vs St Joseph S Fc?
St Joseph S Fc is a heavy favourite: 1,624 Elo points against 1,085, a 539-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Europa Point have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; St Joseph S Fc have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 3, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 0-7 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 0-4 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-3 | Super Cup |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Europa Point win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 St Joseph S Fc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Europa Point 0-7 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Aug 17, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 6-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Europa Point 1-6 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Sep 22, 2024 | St Joseph S Fc 4-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Europa Point 0-3 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Mar 9, 2024 | St Joseph S Fc 1-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Europa Point vs St Joseph S Fc on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Europa Point score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; St Joseph S Fc score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa Point | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| St Joseph S Fc | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Europa Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Europa Point vs St Joseph S Fc?
- The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 85%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Europa Point.
- Where and when is Europa Point vs St Joseph S Fc played?
- Europa Point vs St Joseph S Fc is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.