Magpies vs Mons Calpe: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Magpies. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magpies vs Mons Calpe?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Magpies (1,334) and Mons Calpe (1,362).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magpies have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mons Calpe have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Europa Point(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Lynx(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 0-0 | Rock Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Europa(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Magpies win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mons Calpe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Magpies 2-1 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Mons Calpe 0-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Magpies 4-1 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Mons Calpe 2-5 Magpies | Premier Division |
| May 12, 2024 | Mons Calpe 2-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Magpies 3-1 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Magpies score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mons Calpe score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magpies | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Mons Calpe | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magpies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magpies vs Mons Calpe?
- The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Magpies.
- Where and when is Magpies vs Mons Calpe played?
- Magpies vs Mons Calpe is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.