Everton vs Fulham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside
The Footlab AI model makes Everton the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Fulham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Everton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton vs Fulham?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Everton (2,208) and Fulham (2,178).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Everton vs Fulham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 37J. Garner
- 45H. Armstrong
- 22B. Johnson
- 10J. Grealish
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 4J. Branthwaite
- 2A. Maitland-Niles
- 5M. Keane
- 1J. Pickford
Fulham
4-2-3-1- 7Gonzalo García
- 14Oscar Bobb
- 17A. Iwobi
- 24Joshua King
- 19S. Charles
- 16S. Berge
- 3C. Bassey
- 22D. Affengruber
- 21T. Castagne
- 33A. Robinson
- 1B. Leno
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Fulham have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Everton wins, 3 draws, 0 Fulham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Fulham 1-2 Everton | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Everton 2-0 Fulham | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Fulham 1-3 Everton | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Everton 1-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Fulham 0-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Everton 1-1 Fulham | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Everton score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fulham | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Everton sit 5th in Premier League (10 points from 6 matches) and Fulham sit 20th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 |
A question about Everton vs Fulham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton vs Fulham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Everton the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Fulham.
- Where and when is Everton vs Fulham played?
- Everton vs Fulham is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hill Dickinson Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.