Everton W vs Durham W: prediction and stats
WSL CupGroup StageKick-off on November 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Goodison Park, Liverpool
The Footlab AI model makes Everton W the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Durham W. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton W vs Durham W?
Everton W starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (2,063 vs 1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Everton W vs Durham W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Everton W
4-2-3-1- 21Z. Kramžar
- 8R. van Gool
- 6H. Hayashi
- 30R. Mace
- 29Y. Momiki
- 11H. Cain
- 2H. Blundell
- 33M. Pacheco
- 5N. Layzell
- 25H. Silcock
- 1C. Brosnan
Durham W
4-3-3- 11J. Pennock
- 9L. Watson
- 10G. Ede
- 7B. Hepple
- 21A. Stobbs
- 23R. Lowe
- 5S. Wilson
- 3L. Briggs
- 4M. McComasky
- 2G. Ayre
- 35C. Sheppard
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton W have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Durham W have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Birmingham City W(home) | 2-1 | FA WSL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Liverpool W(away) | 0-2 | FA WSL |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Birmingham City W(home) | 2-0 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | West Ham W(away) | 1-0 | FA WSL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Charlton Athletic W(home) | 1-0 | FA WSL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Newcastle United W(home) | 0-3 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Manchester United W(home) | 1-5 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sheffield United W(away) | 1-4 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nottingham Forest W(home) | 1-2 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leicester City FC W(away) | 2-4 | Women's Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Everton W wins, 0 draws, 1 Durham W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | Everton W 0-1 Durham W | WSL Cup |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Everton W 1-0 Durham W | WSL Cup |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Everton W 2-1 Durham W | FA Women's Cup |
Last archived meeting: Everton W vs Durham W on Dec 17, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Everton W score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Durham W score 1.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton W | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Durham W | 1.2 | 2.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Everton W vs Durham W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton W vs Durham W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Everton W the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Durham W.
- Where and when is Everton W vs Durham W played?
- Everton W vs Durham W is played on November 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Goodison Park, in the WSL Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Everton W2-0Birmingham City W
- Sep 23, 2026Nottingham Forest W0-2Aston Villa W
- Sep 23, 2026Manchester United W10-1Sheffield United W
- Sep 23, 2026Tottenham Hotspur W0-0West Ham W
- Sep 23, 2026Liverpool W4-2Sunderland W
- Sep 23, 2026Crystal Palace W1-0Watford W
- Sep 23, 2026Leicester City FC W0-2London City Lionesses W
- Sep 23, 2026Brighton W4-0Charlton Athletic W