Excelsior Maassluis vs TOGB: result 3-2 and analysis
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
Full time
What was the result of Excelsior Maassluis vs TOGB?
Excelsior Maassluis won 3-2 on October 10, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Excelsior Maassluis win at 57%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Maassluis have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; TOGB have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Excelsior Maassluis wins, 1 draw, 0 TOGB wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2024 | Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 TOGB | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Maassluis vs TOGB on Jul 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Maassluis score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Maassluis | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Maassluis sit 4th in Derde Divisie (20 points from 9 matches) and TOGB sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 20 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Excelsior Maassluis vs TOGB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy