GOES vs TOGB: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Schenge (vv GOES), Goes
The Footlab AI model makes TOGB the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for GOES. The most likely score is 1-1. If TOGB wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GOES vs TOGB?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate GOES (1,622) and TOGB (1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GOES vs TOGB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GOES
4-3-3- 22Sjoerd Verhulst
- 11R. Traas
- HH. van Hecke
- 10Tim de Winter
- 8Steven Smulder
- 12J. Noah
- 4R. James
- 20Renzo Roemeratoe
- 2D. van Dijk
- 2J. Klap
- 23T. Huberts
TOGB
4-3-3- 7M. Le Fevre
- 9A. Bensalah
- 19M. El Yakoubi
- 21T. Azaroiali
- 6J. Zandbergen
- 8L. Zwarteveld
- 3G. Zandbergen
- 5M. van der Elst
- 13F. Eijgenraam
- 15J. Weegman
- 1M. Zwartveld
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOES have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; TOGB have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groene Ster(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UNA(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 GOES wins, 2 draws, 0 TOGB wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | TOGB 1-1 GOES | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 19, 2025 | GOES 1-0 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Mar 2, 2025 | GOES 2-1 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 21, 2024 | TOGB 2-2 GOES | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
GOES score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOES | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GOES sit 7th in Derde Divisie (14 points from 9 matches) and TOGB sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
A question about GOES vs TOGB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GOES vs TOGB?
- The Footlab AI model makes TOGB the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for GOES.
- Where and when is GOES vs TOGB played?
- GOES vs TOGB is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Schenge (vv GOES), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.