Poortugaal vs UNA: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Polder Albrandswaard, Poortugaal
The Footlab model makes Poortugaal the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for UNA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poortugaal vs UNA?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Poortugaal (1,710) and UNA (1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Poortugaal have 2 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; UNA have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vvsb(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 2, 2025 | TEC(away) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Jun 4, 2025 | FC 's-Gravenzande(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 31, 2025 | FC 's-Gravenzande(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Meerssen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Poortugaal score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 7; UNA score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poortugaal | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0 | 5/7 | 6/7 |
| UNA | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poortugaal sit 8th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and UNA sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Poortugaal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | UNA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poortugaal vs UNA?
- The Footlab model makes Poortugaal the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for UNA.
- Where and when is Poortugaal vs UNA played?
- Poortugaal vs UNA is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Polder Albrandswaard, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.