Excelsior Maassluis vs Vvsb: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Vvsb. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs Vvsb?
Excelsior Maassluis starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,727).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior Maassluis vs Vvsb
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior Maassluis
4-3-3- 27D. Plank
- 17D. Slagveer
- 9B. Wennekers
- 30Y. Hamd
- 8J. Udenhout
- 21N. Nagtegaal
- 24D. Lopes Varela
- 12B. Riley
- 4D. Heuvelman
- 29S. Smits
- 16K. El Fakiri
Vvsb
4-3-3- 11G. van Velzen
- 9J. van Nieuwkerk
- 20Segun Owobowale
- 14N. van Wetten
- 29Timo Wolters
- 1Mats Warmerdam
- 5Dion Hooi
- 28Dario van Breukelen
- 23Max Ossendrijver
- 8Tim Bloemendaal
- 25S. Hoogervorst
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Maassluis have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Vvsb have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Excelsior Maassluis wins, 1 draw, 1 Vvsb win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb 0-3 Excelsior Maassluis | Derde Divisie |
| May 30, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis 3-0 Vvsb | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | Vvsb 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Vvsb 3-1 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Excelsior Maassluis 5-1 Vvsb | Tweede Divisie |
| May 5, 2018 | Vvsb 0-3 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Vvsb vs Excelsior Maassluis on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Maassluis score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vvsb score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Maassluis | 2.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Vvsb | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Maassluis sit 4th in Derde Divisie (20 points from 9 matches) and Vvsb sit 16th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 20 |
| 16 | Vvsb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Excelsior Maassluis vs Vvsb?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Maassluis vs Vvsb?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Vvsb.
- Where and when is Excelsior Maassluis vs Vvsb played?
- Excelsior Maassluis vs Vvsb is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Dijkpolder, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.