Excelsior '31 vs Sportlust '46: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Sportlust '46. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior '31 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,160 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs Sportlust '46?
On Elo ratings, Excelsior '31 has 1,847 points and Sportlust '46 1,833.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior '31 vs Sportlust '46
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior '31
4-3-3- 21S. Holsink
- 9S. Seppenwoolde
- 11K. Wesselink
- 8N. Leemhuis
- 10S. ter Haar
- 20M. de Wilde
- 12M. Schrijver
- 3A. de Jong
- 5V. Schmidt
- 2S. Beverdam
- 1K. Reimink
Sportlust '46
3-4-2-1- 32Nordin Zoufri
- 8M. Fichtinger
- 21C. van Hussen
- 7Kesly den Haag
- 5Martijn Jansen
- 22Timo Lutters
- 23Mitchell van der Veer
- 4Fabio Helderton
- 3Coen van der Hoek
- 25Kjeld van den Hoek
- 1S. Damkalis
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 11:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior '31 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Sportlust '46 have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ACV(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 5-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Excelsior '31 wins, 1 draw, 3 Sportlust '46 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46 0-3 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Sportlust '46 3-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Excelsior '31 1-2 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Excelsior '31 1-3 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Sportlust '46 1-3 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Sportlust '46 0-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior '31 on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sportlust '46 score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Sportlust '46 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior '31 sit 5th in Derde Divisie (22 points from 12 matches) and Sportlust '46 sit 7th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 16 | 22 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 22 |
A question about Excelsior '31 vs Sportlust '46?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior '31 vs Sportlust '46?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Sportlust '46.
- Where and when is Excelsior '31 vs Sportlust '46 played?
- Excelsior '31 vs Sportlust '46 is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Koerbelt, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.