Vvsb vs Excelsior Maassluis: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Boekhorst, Noordwijkerhout
The Footlab model makes Vvsb the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Excelsior Maassluis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vvsb vs Excelsior Maassluis?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Vvsb (1,799) and Excelsior Maassluis (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vvsb have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Excelsior Maassluis have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 30, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vvsb win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Excelsior Maassluis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis 3-0 Vvsb | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | Vvsb 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Vvsb 3-1 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Excelsior Maassluis 5-1 Vvsb | Tweede Divisie |
| May 5, 2018 | Vvsb 0-3 Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Excelsior Maassluis 0-0 Vvsb | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Maassluis vs Vvsb on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vvsb score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Maassluis score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vvsb | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Excelsior Maassluis | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vvsb sit 9th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior Maassluis sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Vvsb | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vvsb vs Excelsior Maassluis?
- The Footlab model makes Vvsb the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Excelsior Maassluis.
- Where and when is Vvsb vs Excelsior Maassluis played?
- Vvsb vs Excelsior Maassluis is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Boekhorst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.