Excelsior Virton vs Lokeren-Temse: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Yvan Georges, Virton
The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Lokeren-Temse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Lokeren-Temse?
Excelsior Virton starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,988 vs 1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Virton have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Lokeren-Temse have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strasbourg II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Seraing United(away) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UMM Salal(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dender(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Excelsior Virton win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lokeren-Temse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Lokeren-Temse 1-3 Excelsior Virton | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Excelsior Virton 0-1 Lokeren-Temse | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton on Apr 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Virton score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lokeren-Temse score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Virton | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Lokeren-Temse | 2.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Virton sit 1st in Challenger Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Lokeren-Temse sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Lokeren-Temse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Virton vs Lokeren-Temse?
- The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Lokeren-Temse.
- Where and when is Excelsior Virton vs Lokeren-Temse played?
- Excelsior Virton vs Lokeren-Temse is played on February 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Yvan Georges, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.