Liège vs AS Eupen: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Rocourt, Liège
The Footlab model makes Liège the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for AS Eupen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liège vs AS Eupen?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Liège (1,825) and AS Eupen (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liège have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AS Eupen have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 3-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Patro Eisden(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waremme(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aywaille(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 4-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Aywaille(home) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Liège win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 AS Eupen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Liège 2-1 AS Eupen | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | AS Eupen 2-0 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | AS Eupen 0-1 Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Liège 0-3 AS Eupen | Challenger Pro League |
| Jun 24, 2023 | AS Eupen 0-1 Liège | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Liège score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AS Eupen score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liège | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| AS Eupen | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liège sit 8th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and AS Eupen sit 4th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AS Eupen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Liège | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liège vs AS Eupen?
- The Footlab model makes Liège the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for AS Eupen.
- Where and when is Liège vs AS Eupen played?
- Liège vs AS Eupen is played on February 6, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Rocourt, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.