Excelsior vs Ajax: result 1-4 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 29, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Full time
What was the result of Excelsior vs Ajax?
Ajax won 1-4 on January 29, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 15′D. TadićAjax (pen.)
- 36′R. El YaakoubiExcelsior
- 45′D. KlaassenAjax
- 61′M. KudusAjax
- 83′D. RenschAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Ajax have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | Utrecht(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Jan 20, 2023 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Jan 11, 2023 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Groningen(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Twente(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Jan 8, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Excelsior win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Ajax win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2022 | Ajax 7-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Ajax 6-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Excelsior 1-7 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| May 6, 2018 | Excelsior 1-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Dec 14, 2017 | Ajax 3-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Excelsior 1-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax score 2.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ajax | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior sit 10th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Ajax sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy