Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard: result 1-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 11, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
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What was the result of Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard?
Excelsior and Fortuna Sittard drew 1-1 on August 11, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 32′J. MattheijExcelsior
- 53′J. SmeetsFortuna Sittard
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fortuna Sittard have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2018 | Ajax(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Groningen(away) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 18, 2018 | Heracles(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 14, 2018 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 6, 2018 | Willem II(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2018 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 20, 2018 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2018 | Den Bosch(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 9, 2018 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 6, 2018 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Sittard score 1.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior sit 10th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Sittard sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy