ADO Den Haag vs Excelsior: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab AI model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Excelsior. The most likely score is 1-1. If ADO Den Haag wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,525 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Excelsior?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate ADO Den Haag (1,832) and Excelsior (1,899).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ADO Den Haag vs Excelsior
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ADO Den Haag
4-4-2- 46Y. Eduardo
- 11E. Rottier
- 25J. Kilo
- 17J. Hawkins
- 33M. Šín
- 27N. Thomas
- 3P. Mulder
- 15M. Hokke
- 4M. Waem
- 5J. Jensen-Abbew
- 1K. Nikiéma
Excelsior
4-3-3- 19D. Garden
- 30Á. Þorsteinsson
- 7A. Sliti
- 3R. Meissen
- 20L. Hartjes
- 8I. Yegoian
- 14J. Plug
- 4C. Widell
- 2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
- 15S. Janssen
- 1S. van Gassel
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Excelsior have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 ADO Den Haag wins, 2 draws, 4 Excelsior wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Excelsior 1-0 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2024 | ADO Den Haag 0-5 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
| May 25, 2024 | Excelsior 7-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| May 22, 2024 | ADO Den Haag 1-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| May 29, 2022 | ADO Den Haag 4-4 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| May 24, 2022 | Excelsior 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag on Jan 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 2.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior | 2.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (3 points from 8 matches) and Excelsior sit 10th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 3 |
A question about ADO Den Haag vs Excelsior?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Excelsior?
- The Footlab AI model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Excelsior.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs Excelsior played?
- ADO Den Haag vs Excelsior is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.