Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Utrecht the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utrecht wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,987 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Utrecht (2,045) and Fortuna Sittard (1,988).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Utrecht
4-2-3-1- 20D. de Wit
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 10Y. Cathline
- 8J. van Overeem
- 38O. Agougil
- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 92A. Zagré
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 2S. Horemans
- 22S. Padt
Fortuna Sittard
5-4-1- 9A. Descotte
- 23P. Brittijn
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 52M. Ihattaren
- 7K. Peterson
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 6S. van Ottele
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 8J. Dahlhaus
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 31M. Branderhorst
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 10:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utrecht have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fortuna Sittard have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-4 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Utrecht wins, 2 draws, 2 Fortuna Sittard wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Utrecht 2-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| May 18, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 0-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Utrecht 2-5 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Utrecht 4-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Fortuna Sittard 0-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Sittard score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utrecht sit 11th in Eredivisie (12 points from 11 matches) and Fortuna Sittard sit 6th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 12 |
A question about Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utrecht the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard played?
- Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Galgenwaard, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.