Excelsior vs Jong AZ: result 4-2 and analysis
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Full time
What was the result of Excelsior vs Jong AZ?
Excelsior won 4-2 on September 27, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 6′K. SmitJong AZ
- 11′R. DaalJong AZ
- 19′R. OmorowaExcelsior (pen.)
- 65′N. NaujoksExcelsior
- 76′D. Sanches FernandesExcelsior
- 90′D. Sanches FernandesExcelsior (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Jong AZ have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2024 | Dordrecht(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2024 | VVV Venlo(home) | 4-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Telstar(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2024 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 5-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Vitesse(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2024 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Vitesse(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Telstar(away) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Dordrecht(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Excelsior win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Jong AZ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | Excelsior 3-3 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 6, 2021 | Jong AZ 0-2 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
| May 7, 2021 | Jong AZ 2-1 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 20, 2020 | Excelsior 4-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 14, 2020 | Excelsior 3-3 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 19, 2019 | Jong AZ 1-2 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy