Waalwijk vs Jong AZ: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Jong AZ. The most likely score is 1-1. If Waalwijk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Waalwijk (1,746) and Jong AZ (1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Waalwijk vs Jong AZ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 9J. van de Haar
- 8J. Nap
- 7R. Fage
- 6L. Postma
- 10T. van Leeuwen
- 93V. Misidjan
- 30J. de Wijs
- 55N. Held
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 1N. Schiks
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1- 9Jerolldino Armantrading
- 8J. Oerip
- 6R. Robbemond
- 10H. de Wit
- 11T. de Wit
- 7K. Toppenberg
- 2J. Zwart
- 3A. Natali
- 5K. Inge
- 4F. Andersen
- 1K. Zeggen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waalwijk have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Jong AZ have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | MVV(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 6-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Waalwijk wins, 2 draws, 0 Jong AZ wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Waalwijk 1-1 Jong AZ | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Waalwijk 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Jong AZ 2-3 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 12, 2019 | Jong AZ 2-4 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Waalwijk 2-2 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 12, 2018 | Waalwijk 1-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Waalwijk score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Waalwijk sit 9th in Eerste Divisie (14 points from 10 matches) and Jong AZ sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Jong AZ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 13 |
A question about Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Jong AZ.
- Where and when is Waalwijk vs Jong AZ played?
- Waalwijk vs Jong AZ is played on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Mandemakers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.