Excursionistas vs El Porvenir: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera CRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 30, 2012 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio de Excursionistas, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of Excursionistas vs El Porvenir?
Excursionistas won 4-1 on April 30, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excursionistas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; El Porvenir have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2012 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Central Cordoba(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Apr 15, 2012 | Dock Sud(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Lujan(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Mar 28, 2012 | San Miguel(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2012 | Liniers(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Apr 10, 2012 | Deportivo Laferrere(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Deportivo Español(away) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Mar 28, 2012 | UAI Urquiza(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Mar 23, 2012 | Villa Dalmine(away) | 3-2 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Excursionistas wins, 0 draws, 1 El Porvenir win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2011 | El Porvenir 1-0 Excursionistas | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: El Porvenir vs Excursionistas on Nov 20, 2011
How many goals should we expect?
Excursionistas score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; El Porvenir score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excursionistas | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| El Porvenir | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | El Porvenir | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 40 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 27, 2012Defensores de Cambaceres0-0Dock Sud
- Apr 27, 2012Leandro N. Alem1-0Deportivo Español
- Apr 28, 2012Liniers1-1Berazategui
- Apr 30, 2012Midland0-1Villa Dalmine
- Apr 30, 2012Talleres Remedios3-2Central Cordoba
- Apr 30, 2012JJ Urquiza0-0Lujan
- May 1, 2012Deportivo Laferrere2-1UAI Urquiza
- May 2, 2012Sacachispas1-0San Miguel